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นัด ยังไม่เคยชนะ ต้อนรับอัล อิตติฮัดอันดับ 4 ที่มี 23 แต้ม ตลาดให้อิตติฮัดต่อ 1 ลูก และราคาเริ่มต้นที่ 0.5\u002F1 ไหลมาเป็น 1 แสดงว่าเงินเดินไปทางทีมเยือนชัดเจน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>โจทย์ของเกมนี้ไม่ได้อยู่ที่ว่าใครเหนือกว่า เพราะตารางกับฟอร์มตอบไปแล้ว แต่อยู่ที่อิตติฮัดจะชนะห่างอย่างน้อย 2 ลูกหรือไม่ เพราะราคาลูกเต็มคืนทุนทันทีถ้าชนะเพียงลูกเดียว\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cblockquote>อับฮายังไม่มีชัยในลีก 10 นัด ส่วนอิตติฮัดชนะ 7 จาก 10 นัด ช่องว่างระหว่างสองทีมกว้างจนราคาต้องขยับขึ้นเป็นต่อหนึ่งลูก\u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n\u003Ch2>บริบทของเกมและสิ่งที่เดิมพัน\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>อับฮาเล่นลีกมา 10 นัด ได้ 6 ประตู เสีย 18 ประตู ได้เสียติดลบ 12 ชนะ 0 เสมอ 2 แพ้ 8 ทีมต้องการแต้มเพื่อหนีจากท้ายตาราง แต่ผลงานล่าสุดไม่เอื้อเลย แพ้ติดกัน 3 นัดหลังสุด และสโมสรเพิ่งประกาศปลดโค้ชเมื่อ 28 ต.ค.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>อิตติฮัดมี 7 ชนะ 2 เสมอ 1 แพ้ ได้ 20 เสีย 10 ได้เสียบวก 10 เกมนี้เป็นโอกาสไล่ตามกลุ่มหัวตารางด้วยการเก็บสามแต้มจากทีมท้ายตาราง ส่วนสนามคือ Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City 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จึงเป็นข้อมูลเก่าที่ควรให้น้ำหนักน้อย ผลเรียงตามเวลา 6 ก.พ. 2022 อับฮา 0-4 อิตติฮัด, 31 ธ.ค. 2022 อับฮา 1-2 อิตติฮัด, 8 พ.ค. 2023 อิตติฮัด 4-0 อับฮา, 10 พ.ย. 2023 อิตติฮัด 4-2 อับฮา และ 3 พ.ค. 2024 อับฮา 3-1 อิตติฮัด\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>รวมอิตติฮัดชนะ 4 อับฮาชนะ 1 ประตูรวมอับฮา 6 อิตติฮัด 15 ภาพรวมยังชี้ไปทางอิตติฮัด แต่เป็นข้อมูลเก่า จึงใช้เป็นแค่แนวโน้มสนับสนุน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>มุมแท็กติกที่จะชี้ขาด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ประเด็นแรกคือแนวรับของอับฮา ที่เสีย 7 ประตูใน 5 นัดหลังสุด และเสีย 18 ประตูจาก 10 นัด เมื่อเจอทีมที่ยิงได้ 20 ประตูจาก 10 นัดอย่างอิตติฮัด ย่อมมีโอกาสโดนเจาะซ้ำได้หลายครั้ง โดยเฉพาะหากทีมเจ้าบ้านต้องเปิดเกมไล่ตามหลังเสียประตูแรก\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ประเด็นที่สองคือฝั่งอิตติฮัด ตัวเจ็บหลายคนอาจลดความลึกของทีมลง แต่ผลงานล่าสุดแสดงว่าทีมยังทำประตูได้ต่อเนื่อง ความเสี่ยงของฝั่งนี้คือเกมที่จบด้วยสกอร์ 1-0 หรือ 2-1 ซึ่งเกิดขึ้นได้เมื่อทีมเยือนเล่นแบบคุมจังหวะและไม่รีบปิดเกม\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>วิเคราะห์ราคาบอล\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>อิตติฮัดต่อ 1 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