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ตัวจริงจึงอาจต่างจากรายชื่อที่คาดบ้าง โดยเฉพาะแนวรับที่ Aramburu กลับมาให้เลือกใช้\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ตัวจริงที่คาดว่าจะเห็นฝั่งบิลเบาคือ Unai Simón ในรูปแบบ 4-2-3-1 แนวรับเป็น Hugo Rincón, Daniel Vivian, Aymeric Laporte และ Yuri Berchiche กลางสนามเป็น Beñat Gerenabarrena กับ Mikel Jauregizar แนวรุกมี Iñaki Williams, Alex Berenguer, Nico Williams และ Maroan Sannadi เป็นหัวหอก ฝั่งโซเซียดาดคาดว่าใช้ 4-2-3-1 เช่นกัน โดยมี Alex Remiro, Héctor Fort, Jon Martín, Mamadou Sarr, Sergio Gómez, Jon Gorrotxategi, Carlos Soler, Gonçalo Guedes, Luka Sučić, Ander Barrenetxea และ Mikel Oyarzabal ในสนาม\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\u003Ch2>ฟอร์มล่าสุด: โซเซียดาดคมกว่า บิลเบาแน่นกว่า\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>บิลเบามีผลลีก 3 นัดหลังสุดคือชนะเกตาเฟ 4-0 ที่บ้าน แพ้เลบานเต 1-3 ที่เยือน และเสมอบาเลนเซีย 0-0 ที่เยือน ได้ 5 เสีย 3 ส่วนโกปา เดล เรย์ ชนะ Prat 6-1 ที่เยือนเมื่อ 29 ต.ค. แต่ผลถ้วยไม่นับเป็นสถิติลีก จุดแข็งของทีมคือเสียเพียง 9 ประตูใน 9 นัด ขณะที่โซเซียดาดเสีย 18 ประตูจาก 10 นัด\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>โซเซียดาดไม่แพ้ใน 5 นัดหลังสุดทุกรายการ ชนะ 4 เสมอ 1 ในลีกชนะรวด 3 นัดคือ 3-2 เดปอร์ติโบ, 5-2 มาลากาที่เยือน และ 2-1 เลบานเตที่บ้าน ยิงรวม 10 ประตู ส่วนยูโรปาลีกชนะลิลเลสตรอม 6-0 และเสมอยูเนียน แซงต์-ชิลลัวส์ 1-1 พลังบุกจึงเหนือกว่าบิลเบาอย่างชัดเจน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>แต่ก็มีข้อกังวลที่ต้องยอมรับ โซเซียดาดเสียประตูทุกนัดในลีก 3 นัดหลังสุด และบิลเบามีข้อได้เปรียบด้านเกมรับในตาราง ถ้าเกมถูกบีบให้ช้าลง แขกอาจยิงไม่ง่ายอย่างที่ผ่านมา\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\u003Ch2>เจอกันล่าสุด: โซเซียดาดชนะ 3 เสมอ 1\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>นัดทางการภายใน 2 ปีมี 4 นัด โซเซียดาดชนะ 3 เสมอ 1 ส่วนบิลเบาไม่ชนะเลย เริ่มจากลีก 1 พ.ย. 2025 โซเซียดาดชนะ 3-2 ต่อด้วยลีก 1 ก.พ. 2026 ที่บิลเบาเสมอ 1-1 ในบ้าน จากนั้นโกปา เดล เรย์ 2 นัด โซเซียดาดชนะ 1-0 ที่บิลเบาเมื่อ 11 ก.พ. และชนะ 1-0 ที่บ้านเมื่อ 4 มี.ค. ผลสองนัดโกปาเป็นเพียงผลเจอกันและไม่ถูกนับเป็นสถิติลีก\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>3 นัดหลังสุดที่เจอกันในลีกและโกปา บิลเบายิงได้รวมเพียงประตูเดียว นี่คือตัวเลขที่บอกว่าการเจอโซเซียดาดไม่เคยง่ายสำหรับเจ้าบ้าน \u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\u003Ch2>ราคาบอลและมุมมองเกม\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ราคา แอธเลติก บิลเบา ต่อ 0\u002F0.5 หมายถึงเสมอควบครึ่ง ถ้าบิลเบาชนะ ฝั่งต่อได้เต็ม ถ้าเสมอ ฝั่งต่อเสียครึ่งและฝั่งรองโซเซียดาดได้ครึ่ง ถ้าโซเซียดาดชนะ ฝั่งรองได้เต็ม ความหมายคือราคาให้บิลเบานำเพียงเล็กน้อย ไม่ได้มองว่าเจ้าบ้านเหนือกว่ามาก\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ปัจจัยที่ชี้ไปทางโซเซียดาดมีสองข้อ ข้อแรกคือฟอร์มและตาราง อยู่สูงกว่า ไม่แพ้ 5 นัดหลัง ยิงเฉลี่ยสูงกว่า ข้อสองคือผลเจอกันภายใน 2 ปีที่ชนะ 3 เสมอ 1 ส่วนปัจจัยตัวผู้เล่นก้ำกึ่ง เพราะบิลเบาได้ Sancet กลับมา แม้ยังขาด Guruzeta กับ Ruiz de Galarreta ขณะที่โซเซียดาดขาดสามคนเช่นกัน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>จึงมีข้อกังวลสองข้อสำหรับฝั่งรอง คือเกมรับของโซเซียดาดที่เสียประตูต่อเนื่อง และ San Mamés ที่คืนนี้เป็นเวทีของดาร์บี้ บิลเบามีสิทธิ์คืนฟอร์มได้ ด้วยเหตุนี้จึงเลือกฝั่งรองแบบไม่ฝากความหวังไว้มากเกินไป\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\u003Ch2>มุมที่ชี้ขาดและสกอร์ที่คาด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>เกมนี้น่าจะตัดสินด้วยสองอย่าง 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