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นัดหลังเจอกันห่างไม่เกินลูกเดียว","รองเสือเหลือง ต้านได้ไม่เปลือง","away","2-1",{"slug":937,"name":938,"avatar_url":55},"kicktip-team","ทีมงาน CAMPBALL","2026-10-31T08:03:25+00:00","\u003Ch2>ศึกคลาสสิกเกอร์ที่ทั้งสองทีมยังไม่แพ้ในลีก\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>แดร์ คลาสสิเกอร์ นัดที่ 8 ของบุนเดสลีกา เตะที่ Allianz Arena คืนวันเสาร์ตามเวลาเยอรมนี ตรงกับเวลา 00:30 น. ของวันที่ 1 พ.ย. ตามเวลาไทย เป็นการเจอกันของสองทีมหัวตาราง บาเยิร์นอยู่อันดับ 1 ส่วนดอร์ทมุนด์อยู่อันดับ 2 ทั้งคู่แข่งมา 7 นัด ชนะ 5 เสมอ 2 ไม่แพ้ใครเลย และมี 17 แต้มเท่ากันพอดี บาเยิร์นนำเพราะผลต่างประตูที่ดีกว่าเท่านั้น ใครชนะคืนนี้จะขึ้นนำห่างอีกฝ่ายทันที\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>บาเยิร์น มิวนิก ต่อ ลูกครึ่งควบสองลูก ซึ่งเป็นราคาที่สูงมากสำหรับคู่ที่ทั้งสองทีมมีแต้มเท่ากัน คำถามเดียวที่ต้องตอบคือ บาเยิร์นจะชนะห่างอย่างน้อย 3 ลูกได้จริงหรือไม่ เพราะถ้าชนะแค่ลูกเดียวหรือเสมอ ฝั่งต่อเสียเต็มทันที\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>ข่าวทีมก่อนเกม\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ฝั่งบาเยิร์นยังมีเรื่องให้ปวดหัวนอกสนาม Vincent Kompany (แว็งซ็อง ก็องปานี) ล้มป่วยตั้งแต่วันที่ 23 ต.ค. แม้ออกจากโรงพยาบาลแล้วแต่ยังพักฟื้นอยู่ Aaron Danks (แอรอน แดงค์ส) ผู้ช่วยวัย 43 ปี จึงเป็นคนขึ้นแถลงและคุมทีมแทน ในสนามบาเยิร์นขาด Manuel Neuer ที่เจ็บเท้า Danks บอกกับ Yahoo Sports เมื่อวันที่ 31 ต.ค. ว่าเกมนี้ \"เร็วไปนิดสำหรับ Neuer ยังมีอาการปวดเท้า\" Jonas Urbig จึงน่าจะยืนเฝ้าประตูแทน นอกจากนี้ Jamal Musiala, Luis Díaz และ Bara Ndiaye ก็ไม่พร้อมเช่นกัน โดย Ndiaye มีปัญหาไส้ติ่ง ส่วน Díaz เป็นอาการแฮมสตริงที่มีรายงานว่าอาจพักถึงปลายเดือน พ.ย.\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ข่าวดีของบาเยิร์นคือ Joshua Kimmich ซึ่งเพิ่งผ่านเรื่องเสียญาติในครอบครัวและขาดไป 3 นัด มีรายงานว่ากลับมาซ้อมกับทีมแล้ว และ Danks เคยให้ความหวังไว้กับ Sportschau เมื่อวันที่ 27 ต.ค. ว่าจะกลับมาในสัปดาห์นี้ ตัวจริงที่คาดว่าจะเห็นของบาเยิร์นคือ 4-2-3-1 เริ่มจาก Urbig ในกรอบเขตโทษ แนวรับ Konrad Laimer, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Josip Stanišić กลางสนาม Kimmich คู่ Aleksandar Pavlović สามตัวรุก Michael Olise, Ismael Saibari, Alphonso Davies และ Harry Kane เป็นหัวหอก\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ฝั่งดอร์ทมุนด์ Niko Kovač (นิโก โควัช) ต้องเสีย Emre Can และ Giannis Konstantelias ที่เจ็บเข่า รวมถึง Lerma ที่เจ็บกล้ามเนื้อ แต่มีข่าวดีเรื่อง Karetsas เพราะ Ruhr Nachrichten รายงานเมื่อวันที่ 30 ต.ค. ว่าเขาติดทีมเดินทางไปมิวนิกแล้ว ซึ่งหมายความว่ากลับมาติดทีมได้แม้ข้อมูลก่อนหน้าระบุว่าเจ็บข้อเท้า Kovač บอกกับ bvbwld.de เมื่อวันที่ 29 ต.ค. ว่านักเตะที่ลงเล่นช่วงที่ผ่านมาฟิตกันหมด คาดว่าตัวจริงเป็นแผน 3-4-2-1 เริ่มจาก Gregor Kobel ในประตู แนวรับสามคนคือ Joane Gadou, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck ปีกและกลางสนามคือ Julian Ryerson, Joey Veerman, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson สองตัวรุกหลังหัวหอกคือ Jobe Bellingham กับ Carney Chukwuemeka และ Serhou Guirassy เป็นกองหน้า\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>ฟอร์มและตารางคะแนน\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>บาเยิร์นมีผลงาน 5 นัดหลังในทุกรายการคือ ชนะ 3 เสมอ 2 ไม่แพ้ใคร ยิงรวม 20 ประตู ชนะมักเดบวร์ก 6-1 ในเดเอฟเบ โพคาล ชนะไฟรบวร์ก 3-1 ในลีก ชนะไลป์ซิก 6-1 และเสมออาร์เซนอล 2-2 กับไวกิ้ง 3-3 ในแชมเปียนส์ลีก ตัวเลขเกมรุกน่ากลัวจริง ชนะห่างตั้งแต่ 3 ลูกขึ้นไปมา 2 นัดจาก 5 นัด แต่มีด้านที่ต้องจับตาคือบาเยิร์นเสียประตูครบทุกนัดใน 5 นัดนั้น รวม 8 ลูก ในลีกยิง 25 เสีย 6 หรือเฉลี่ยยิง 3.6 ลูกต่อนัด\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ดอร์ทมุนด์ 5 นัดหลังชนะ 3 เสมอ 1 แพ้ 1 ชนะเบรเมน 3-2 ในเดเอฟเบ โพคาล ชนะไอน์ทรัค แฟรงเฟิร์ต 1-0 ในลีก ชนะซาบาห์ 2-1 ในแชมเปียนส์ลีก เสมอยูเนียน เบอร์ลิน 0-0 และแพ้โบโด\u002Fกลิมท์ 0-1 เสียเพียง 4 ลูกใน 5 นัด และในลีก 7 นัดเสียแค่ 4 ประตู น้อยที่สุดในสองทีมนี้ เฉลี่ยเสีย 0.6 ลูกต่อนัด ขณะที่ยิงเฉลี่ย 1.7 ลูก\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cblockquote>บาเยิร์นยิงได้เยอะ แต่ใน 5 นัดหลังที่เจอกัน ดอร์ทมุนด์ไม่เคยยอมให้ห่างเกินลูกเดียว\u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n\u003Ch2>ประวัติการเจอกัน\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>5 นัดหลังสุด บาเยิร์นไม่แพ้ดอร์ทมุนด์เลย ชนะ 3 เสมอ 2 ล่าสุดชนะซูเปอร์คัพ 2-1 เมื่อวันที่ 22 ส.ค. ก่อนหน้านั้นชนะในลีก 3-2 เมื่อวันที่ 28 ก.พ. และชนะ 2-1 ที่ Allianz Arena เมื่อ 18 ต.ค. ปีก่อน ส่วนอีกสองนัดเป็นเสมอ 2-2 ที่มิวนิกเมื่อเดือน เม.ย. 2025 และเสมอ 1-1 ที่ดอร์ทมุนด์เมื่อ พ.ย. 2024\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>จุดที่สำคัญที่สุดสำหรับราคานี้คือ ชัยชนะทั้ง 3 นัดของบาเยิร์นห่างกันแค่ลูกเดียวพอดี ไม่มีนัดไหนใน 5 นัดที่ผลห่างตั้งแต่ 2 ลูกขึ้นไป แปลว่าถ้าเอาราคาลูกครึ่งควบสองลูกมาเทียบกับ 5 นัดนี้ บาเยิร์นไม่เคยผ่านแม้แต่ครึ่งเดียว ดอร์ทมุนด์ยังยิงได้ทั้ง 5 นัด รวมประตู บาเยิร์น 10 ดอร์ทมุนด์ 7 ซึ่งเป็นสกอร์ของเกมสูสี\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>มุมแท็กติกที่จะชี้ขาด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>Kovač ใช้ระบบแบ็กสามพร้อมวิงแบ็กและคู่กลางสองคน แนวรับสามคนนำโดย Schlotterbeck กับ Anton ทำให้พื้นที่กลางแคบ บาเยิร์นต้องอาศัยการเปิดเกมจาก Kimmich และการเคลื่อนที่ของ Olise กับ Davies เพื่อดึงวิงแบ็กออกมา ถ้า Guirassy เป็นหัวหอกเพียงคนเดียวที่ต้องแบกภาระเกมรุกจากการขาด Konstantelias บาเยิร์นก็มีโอกาสคุมเกมต่อเนื่อง ส่วนดอร์ทมุนด์มี Bellingham กับ Chukwuemeka เป็นสองตัวรุกที่เล่นหลังหัวหอก\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>อีกด้านคือประตูของบาเยิร์น การเปลี่ยนจาก Neuer เป็น Urbig และการขาด Musiala กับ Díaz ทำให้ตัวเลือกบางลงเมื่อต้องไล่ให้ทิ้งห่าง การคุมทีมโดยผู้ช่วยในช่วงที่ Kompany 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