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เปีย","Casa Pia","CAS","https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.kicktip.club\u002Flogos\u002Fthumb\u002Fteams\u002F543-4ee7408e5e.webp",{"id":909,"slug":910,"name_th":911,"name_en":912,"short_name":913,"logo_url":914,"competition_id":50},324,"sporting-cp","สปอร์ติง ลิสบอน","Sporting CP","SPO","https:\u002F\u002Fmedia.kicktip.club\u002Flogos\u002Fthumb\u002Fteams\u002F324-3c8ad494fa.webp","2026-10-30T20:15:00+00:00","2026-10-30","live","Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior","Rio Mayor","2H",66,{"home_yellow":28,"away_yellow":16,"home_red":18,"away_red":18},"2026-10-30T21:43:32+00:00","1.5","away",[],"2026-10-30T07:00:31+00:00",{"slug":899,"kind":929,"title":930,"tip":931,"pick":925,"confidence":9,"score_prediction":932,"author":933,"published_at":936,"result":55,"handicap":924,"handicap_side":925,"outcome":55,"body_html":937,"seo_title":938,"seo_description":939,"cover_url":55,"cover_images":940,"updated_at":941,"view_count":21},"article","วิเคราะห์ กาซ่า เปีย vs สปอร์ติง ลิสบอน ปรีไมราลีกา สิงโตเขียวบุกชนะขาด","ต่อสปอร์ติง ชนะขาดจริง","0-2",{"slug":934,"name":935,"avatar_url":55},"kicktip-team","ทีมงาน CAMPBALL","2026-10-30T08:36:55+00:00","\u003Cp>คืนวันศุกร์ที่ 30 ต.ค. ตามเวลาลิสบอน (03:15 น. ไทย เสาร์ 31 ต.ค.) ปรีไมราลีกา โปรตุเกส นัดที่ 10 พาสปอร์ติง ลิสบอน อันดับ 3 ของตาราง มาเยือนกาซ่า เปีย อันดับ 16 ที่ Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior สองทีมห่างกัน 11 แต้ม ฝั่งเจ้าบ้านแพ้ในบ้านครบทั้ง 4 นัด ส่วนสปอร์ติงยังไม่แพ้นอกบ้านในลีกเลย ราคาให้สปอร์ติงต่อ 1.5 หรือ \"ลูกครึ่ง\" ซึ่งเป็นราคาที่ต้องชนะอย่างน้อย 2 ลูกถึงจะได้เต็ม\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\u003Ch2>บริบทของเกม\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>กาซ่า เปียนั่งอยู่อันดับ 16 มี 7 แต้มจาก 9 นัด ชนะ 2 เสมอ 1 แพ้ 6 ยิงได้ 5 เสียไป 17 เกมรุกมีปัญหาชัดเจน ขณะที่สปอร์ติงอยู่อันดับ 3 มี 18 แต้มจาก 9 นัด ชนะ 5 เสมอ 3 แพ้ 1 ยิงได้ 21 เสีย 11 ทีมที่ลงสนามทั้งลีก แชมเปี้ยนส์ลีก และลีกคัพ แต่ผลงานในตารางยังเหนือกว่ากาซ่า เปียชัดเจน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>สนามที่ใช้แข่งคืนนี้อยู่ที่เมือง Rio Maior ซึ่งกาซ่า เปียใช้เป็นสนามเหย้า เกมนี้จึงเป็นการทดสอบว่าทีมท้ายตารางที่ยังไม่เคยชนะในบ้านฤดูกาลนี้ จะต้านทีมอันดับต้นตารางได้แค่ไหน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\u003Ch2>ข่าวทีมและความพร้อมของผู้เล่น\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ฝั่งสปอร์ติง Rui Borges ยืนยันในงานแถลงข่าวว่า Zeno Debast และ Rodrigo Zalazar ไม่พร้อมสำหรับเกมนี้ ตามรายงานของ Maisfutebol เมื่อ 29 ต.ค. ส่วน Nuno Santos ยังพักฟื้นและเป็นตัวขาดแน่นอน ตามรายงานของ Notícias ao Minuto เมื่อ 30 ต.ค. รวมแล้วสปอร์ติงขาด 3 คน ซึ่งเป็นข้อกังวลเล็กน้อยด้านความลึกของทีม แต่ไม่มีรายงานตัวขาดหรือแบนเพิ่มเติม\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ฝั่งกาซ่า เปีย Filipe Coelho ขาด André Gomes ตามรายงานของ SAPO เมื่อ 29 ต.ค. ขณะที่ Sebastián Pérez ที่ออกจากเกมก่อนด้วยอาการเจ็บ กลับมาซ้อมได้ตามปกติ ตามรายงานเดียวกัน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>Borges พูดถึงคู่แข่งตามรายงานของ Maisfutebol ว่ากาซ่า เปียพัฒนาขึ้นทั้งเกมรุกและเกมรับ เล่นได้สม่ำเสมอ ตั้งรับแนวกลางถึงต่ำ มีจุดแข็งเรื่องเซ็ตพีซ และมีกองหน้าที่เร็วและเก่งในการเล่นตัวต่อตัว เขาคาดว่าเกมนี้จะมีพื้นที่ให้เล่นน้อย ซึ่งเป็นการเตือนตัวเองว่าไม่ควรมองข้ามทีมเจ้าบ้าน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ส่วนรายชื่อตัวจริงของทั้งสองทีม ยังไม่มีรายชื่อตัวจริงที่ยืนยันได้เผยแพร่ก่อนเกม\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\u003Ch2>ฟอร์มการเล่นล่าสุด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>5 นัดลีกหลังสุดของกาซ่า เปีย (เรียงเก่าไปใหม่) เสมอวิตอเรีย กิมาไรส์ 0-0 นอกบ้าน, แพ้ปอร์โต้ 1-4 ในบ้าน, ชนะเอสโตริล 2-1 นอกบ้าน, แพ้ซานตา คลารา 0-1 ในบ้าน และล่าสุดชนะเอสเตรล่า อามาโดร่า 2-0 นอกบ้าน รวมชนะ 2 เสมอ 1 แพ้ 2 ยิงได้ 5 เสีย 6 สังเกตว่าทั้งสองชัยชนะเป็นเกมเยือน ส่วนในบ้านแพ้ทั้ง 4 นัด ยิงได้เพียง 1 ลูก เสียถึง 13 ลูก (นัดเอาชนะ Alpendorada 1-0 เมื่อ 18 ต.ค. เป็นศึก Taça de Portugal จึงไม่นับเป็นฟอร์มลีก)\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>5 นัดลีกหลังสุดของสปอร์ติง ชนะนาซิอองนาล 2-0 ในบ้าน, เสมอฟามาลิเคา 1-1 นอกบ้าน, เสมออาโรก้า 2-2 ในบ้าน, ชนะบราก้า 3-1 นอกบ้าน และแพ้อคาเดมิโก วิเซว 1-2 ในบ้านเมื่อ 25 ต.ค. รวมชนะ 2 เสมอ 2 แพ้ 1 ยิงได้ 9 เสีย 6 นอกลีกยังชนะล็องส์ 2-0 ใน UCL นอกบ้าน, แพ้ลาสค์ 2-3 ใน UCL ในบ้าน และชนะมารีติโม 2-1 ในลีกคัพเมื่อวันอังคาร ทีมจึงแพ้ในบ้าน 2 จาก 3 นัดหลังสุด และลงสนามถี่ทุก 2–4 วัน นี่คือจุดที่ต้องระวัง\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>แต่เมื่อดูผลนอกบ้านในลีก สปอร์ติงลงเล่น 4 นัด ชนะ 2 เสมอ 2 ยิงได้ 10 เสีย 4 ยังไม่แพ้เลย ขณะที่กาซ่า เปียในบ้านเสียเฉลี่ยสูงมาก ภาพรวมฟอร์มและตารางจึงเอียงไปทางสปอร์ติงชัด\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\u003Ch2>สถิติที่เคยพบกัน\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ข้อมูล Fotmob ระบุว่าสปอร์ติงชนะกาซ่า เปียทั้ง 9 นัดที่มีบันทึก และ 5 นัดล่าสุดที่ปรากฏในข้อมูล ชนะห่างอย่างน้อย 2 ลูกทุกนัด คือ 3-0 (16 ม.ค. 2026), 2-0 (8 ส.ค. 2025), 3-1 (9 มี.ค. 2025), 2-0 (5 ต.ค. 2024) และ 8-0 (29 ม.ค. 2024)\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>เมื่อมาเยือนบ้านกาซ่า เปีย ล่าสุดสปอร์ติงชนะ 2-0 เมื่อ 8 ส.ค. 2025 และ 3-1 เมื่อ 9 มี.ค. 2025 ซึ่งเป็นการชนะห่าง 2 ลูกทั้งคู่ พอดีกับเงื่อนไขของราคาลูกครึ่งที่ต้องชนะอย่างน้อย 2 ลูก\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\u003Ch2>มุมแท็กติกที่จะชี้ขาด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>กาซ่า เปียน่าจะลงตั้งรับแนวกลางถึงต่ำ รอจังหวะเซ็ตพีซและโต้กลับด้วยกองหน้าที่เร็ว ตามที่ Borges เองยอมรับ ทีมนี้ทำได้ดีเมื่อเล่นนอกบ้าน ชนะเอสโตริลและเอสเตรล่า อามาโดร่า แต่ในบ้านกลับยิงยากมาก ยิงได้แค่ลูกเดียวใน 4 นัด หากสปอร์ติงเปิดเกมด้วยการเล่นเร็วและทำประตูแรกได้ เกมจะเปิดทางให้ทีมเยือนขยายสกอร์\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ปัญหาของสปอร์ติงคือโปรแกรมแน่นและตัวขาด 3 คน ซึ่งอาจทำให้การหมุนเวียนตัวผู้เล่นมีทางเลือกน้อยลง และเกมรับเสียประตูได้ในหลายนัดหลัง แต่ตัวเลขเยือนยิง 10 ลูกจาก 4 นัด บอกว่าทีมนี้ยังทำประตูได้ต่อเนื่องเมื่อออกนอกบ้าน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\u003Ch2>วิเคราะห์ราคาบอล\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ราคาปัจจุบันสปอร์ติง ลิสบอน ต่อ 1.5 หรือลูกครึ่ง ถ้าสปอร์ติงชนะตั้งแต่ 2 ลูกขึ้นไป ฝั่งต่อได้เต็ม แต่ถ้าชนะแค่ 1 ลูก เสมอ หรือกาซ่า เปียชนะ ฝั่งรองได้เต็ม ไม่มีกรณีได้ครึ่งหรือเสียครึ่ง จึงเป็นราคาที่ต้องการผลชนะแบบขาดลอย\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>เมื่อดูความสัมพันธ์กับข้อมูล การชนะห่าง 2 ลูกขึ้นไปในทุกนัดจาก 5 นัดล่าสุดที่เจอกัน รวมถึงสถิติของกาซ่า เปียในบ้านที่เสียเฉลี่ยกว่า 3 ลูกต่อนัด (เสีย 13 ใน 4 นัด) ทำให้ราคาลูกครึ่งยังอยู่ในกรอบที่สปอร์ติงทำได้ ข้อควรระวังคือสปอร์ติงเพิ่งแพ้ในบ้านให้อคาเดมิโก วิเซว และกาซ่า เปียมีเซ็ตพีซกับกองหน้าเร็วที่อาจทำให้เกมจบแค่ชนะลูกเดียว\u003C\u002Fp>\n\n\u003Ch2>บทสรุปและทีเด็ด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ปัจจัยที่ชี้ทางเดียวกันคือฟอร์มและตาราง (อันดับ 3 พบอันดับ 16 ห่าง 11 แต้ม กาซ่า เปียแพ้ในบ้านครบ 4 นัด ส่วนสปอร์ติงยังไม่แพ้นอกบ้านในลีก) และสถิติเจอกันที่สปอร์ติงชนะห่างอย่างน้อย 2 ลูกทุกนัดใน 5 นัดหลังสุด ขณะที่ปัจจัยผู้เล่นค้านเล็กน้อย เพราะสปอร์ติงขาด Debast, Zalazar และ Nuno Santos และข่าวยังไม่ยืนยันว่าตัวขาดทั้งสามคนจะไม่กระทบแผนเล่น ราคาลูกครึ่งก็ต้องการชัยชนะ 2 ลูกขึ้นไป จึงเลือกสปอร์ติงแบบไม่สุดโต่ง\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cblockquote>สปอร์ติงชนะกาซ่า เปียทั้ง 9 นัดที่มีบันทึก และห่าง 2 ลูกขึ้นไปทุกนัดใน 5 นัดหลังสุด ขณะที่เจ้าบ้านแพ้ในบ้านครบทุกนัดฤดูกาลนี้\u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n\u003Cp>สกอร์ที่คาดคือ กาซ่า เปีย 0-2 สปอร์ติง ลิสบอน ซึ่งผ่านราคาลูกครึ่งเต็มจำนวน ฝั่งต่อได้เต็ม\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cblockquote>ทีเด็ด: ต่อสปอร์ติง ชนะขาดจริง สกอร์ 0-2 เพราะสปอร์ติงเหนือกว่าทั้งตารางและสถิติเจอกัน ขณะที่กาซ่า 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