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เกมนี้เป็นเกมลีกแรกของโค้ชใหม่เอสโตริล ซึ่งเป็นแรงกระตุ้นที่ต้องนับ แต่ราคาที่ให้ทีมบ๊วยต้องชนะเท่านั้นถึงจะผ่านราคา ดูแพงเกินไปเมื่อเทียบกับตัวเลขที่มีอยู่ ทางเลือกที่คุ้มกว่าจึงเป็นฝั่งรอง โมเรย์เรนเซ\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>บริบทเกม: บ๊วยกับโค้ชใหม่ ที่ Estádio António Coimbra da Mota\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>เอสโตริลลงสนามด้วยผลงานลีก 8 นัด ชนะ 0 เสมอ 2 แพ้ 6 ได้ 4 ประตู เสีย 12 ประตู เก็บได้เพียง 2 แต้ม อยู่ท้ายตารางอันดับ 18 ส่วนโมเรย์เรนเซอยู่อันดับ 12 ชนะ 2 เสมอ 2 แพ้ 4 ได้ 8 ประตู เสีย 15 ประตู รวม 8 แต้ม ห่างกัน 6 แต้ม ไม่ใช่ช่องว่างที่ใหญ่โตนัก แต่ฝั่งหนึ่งยังหาชัยชนะลีกไม่เจอ อีกฝั่งอย่างน้อยก็เคยชนะและเคยเสมอบนถนนมาแล้ว\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cblockquote>ทีมบ๊วยที่ยังไม่ชนะใครในลีก ถูกตั้งราคาให้ต้องเอาชนะเท่านั้น นั่นคือจุดที่ควรตั้งคำถามที่สุดของคู่นี้\u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n\u003Ch2>ข่าวทีมเอสโตริล: เปลี่ยนโค้ช เขย่าตัวจริง\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ตามรายงานของ Dia de Jogo เมื่อวันที่ 21 ตุลาคม Vasco Matos ไม่อยู่แล้ว เซร์จิโอ ไรมุนโด (Sérgio Raimundo) ขึ้นจากทีมชุดเล็กมาคุมทีมชุดใหญ่ ในวันที่ทีมยังไม่ชนะใครและมี 2 แต้มจาก 8 นัด เกมนี้จึงเป็นเกมลีกแรกของเขา ซึ่ง Sports Mole ก็ระบุว่าเป็นเกมลีกแรกของโค้ชใหม่เช่นกัน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ในเกมบอลถ้วยที่เสมอ Salgueiros 1-1 เมื่อวันที่ 18 ตุลาคม ไรมุนโดเปลี่ยนตัวจริงมาก ส่งตัวสำรองประจำอย่าง Omerovic และ Pedro Carvalho ลงเล่น André Lacximicant ไม่ได้ลงเพราะไม่สบายท้อง แต่ Dia de Jogo ระบุว่าควรกลับมาอยู่ในตัวเลือกของเกมนี้\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>ข่าวทีมโมเรย์เรนเซ: ขาดกองหลังเก๋า แต่ยังมีตัวเลือก\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>Maracás กองหลังเก๋าของโมเรย์เรนเซถูกแบนหลังโดนไล่ออกก่อนหมดครึ่งแรกในเกมบอลถ้วยที่แพ้ AVS 0-1 เมื่อ 17 ตุลาคม ตามรายงานของ Sports Mole และ Fotmob ก็ยืนยันเรื่องการแบน Alexandre Parsemain กองหน้าวัย 23 ปี เจ็บจากการเล่นให้ทีมชาติมาร์ตินีก และพักเป็นนัดที่ 3 ติด\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>Dinis Pinto แบ็กขวามีอาการบาดเจ็บทางกาย พลาดเกม AVS และอยู่ในโปรแกรมฟื้นตัว Record รายงานว่า \"ใกล้พร้อม\" หากไม่ทันจะเป็น Leandro Santos วัย 21 ปีลงแทน ขณะที่ Manuel Mendonça มีแนวโน้มกลับมาเป็นตัวจริง หลังเสียที่ให้ João Veloso ในเกมถ้วย โค้ช Vasco Botelho da Costa แถลงว่ามั่นใจว่าทีมจะดีขึ้น และมีพาดหัวจาก Bola na Rede ว่าเอสโตริลไม่ใช่ทีมที่ควรอยู่ในตำแหน่งที่เป็นอยู่\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>Sports Mole คาดว่าเอสโตริลจะใช้แผน 4-2-3-1 โดยมี Robles ในเส้นประตู แนวรับ Sanchez, Tsoungui, Ferro, Jurisic กองกลาง Holsgrove, Robin ตามด้วย Guitane, Carvalho, Omerovic และ Lacximicant เป็นหัวหอก\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ฝั่งโมเรย์เรนเซ Sports Mole คาดว่าใช้แผน 4-2-3-1 เช่นกัน โดยมี Ferreira ผู้รักษาประตู แนวรับ Kiko, Monteiro, Batista, Pinto กองกลาง Liberato, John ตามด้วย Andrade, Mendonca, Bondoso และ Vonic ยืนหน้า ชื่อ Pinto ในรายชื่อนี้ยังเป็นข้อสงสัยตามข่าวข้างต้น\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>ฟอร์มและสถิติล่าสุด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>เอสโตริล 5 นัดหลังสุดทุกรายการ ชนะ 0 เสมอ 2 แพ้ 3 ได้ 3 ประตู เสีย 6 ประตู ในลีก 4 นัดเสมอ 1 แพ้ 3 คือเสมออารูก้า 0-0 ที่บ้าน แพ้บราก้า 0-1 แพ้กาซ่า เปีย 1-2 และแพ้อคาเดมิโก วิเซว 1-2\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>โมเรย์เรนเซ 5 นัดหลังสุด ชนะ 1 เสมอ 1 แพ้ 3 ได้ 4 ประตู เสีย 8 ประตู ในลีก 4 นัดชนะ 1 เสมอ 1 แพ้ 2 โดยชนะมารีติโม 3-1 และเสมอวิตอเรีย กิมาไรส์ 1-1 นอกบ้าน จุดอ่อนคือแพ้ 2 นัดหลังสุดทุกรายการโดยยิงไม่ได้ และเสียไป 15 ประตูใน 8 นัดลีก แต่ฟอร์มของฝั่งเจ้าบ้านที่ไม่ชนะใครเลยก็แย่กว่าในแทบทุกมุม\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>สถิติเจอกัน: เอสโตริลไม่ชนะ 5 นัดหลังสุด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ห้านัดหลังสุดของสองทีม เอสโตริลไม่ชนะเลย เสมอ 3 แพ้ 2 โดยเสมอ 3-3 ที่บ้านเมื่อธันวาคม 2025 เสมอ 2-2 นอกบ้านเมื่อพฤษภาคม 2025 เสมอ 2-2 ที่บ้านเมื่อธันวาคม 2024 และแพ้ 0-1 นอกบ้านเมื่อเมษายน 2026 กับแพ้ 1-2 นอกบ้านเมื่อพฤษภาคม 2024 สองนัดที่เอสโตริลเป็นเจ้าบ้านจบด้วยการเสมอทั้งคู่ ประตูรวม 5 นัดเท่ากับ 18 ลูก เฉลี่ย 3.6 ลูกต่อเกม\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ในมุมแท็กติก เอสโตริลทำได้ 4 เสีย 12 ในลีก ปัญหาจึงอยู่ที่ความสามารถในการปิดเกมให้เป็นชัยชนะ การเปลี่ยนโค้ชอาจทำให้ทีมออกตัวแรง แต่เมื่อเปลี่ยนตัวจริงมาก ความต่อเนื่องของจังหวะก็ลดลง ในทางกลับกัน โมเรย์เรนเซมีปัญหาเรื่องการยิงประตู โดยแพ้สองนัดหลังสุดแบบไม่มีประตู และต้องเสียกองหลัง Maracás กับ 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