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ด้วยเหตุผลเรื่องฟอร์มล่าสุดและตัวผู้เล่นที่ขาดของฝั่งเจ้าบ้าน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>บริบทของเกม\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>จิโรนาอยู่อันดับ 8 ชนะ 6 เสมอ 3 แพ้ 3 ยิงได้ 22 เสีย 11 เกมนี้เป็นโอกาสไล่ตามกลุ่มบนที่อยู่เหนือขึ้นไป แต่เพิ่งพลาดในนัดลีกล่าสุดเมื่อ 31 ต.ค. ที่ผลจบ เรอัล โซเซียดาด บี 1-0 จิโรนา จึงต้องการเรียกฟอร์มกลับมา\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>อัลเมเรียอยู่อันดับ 2 ชนะ 8 เสมอ 2 แพ้ 2 ยิงได้ 23 เสีย 10 ทีมเยือนมีแต้มนำจิโรนา 5 แต้ม และเข้าสู่เกมนี้ด้วยสถิติไม่แพ้ในลีก 5 นัดหลังสุด การเดินทางไปเยือนจึงไม่ใช่เกมที่อัลเมเรียต้องเล่นแบบหวาดระแวง\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>ข่าวทีมและความพร้อมของผู้เล่น\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ตามรายงานของสำนักข่าว EFE ฝั่งจิโรนามีผู้เล่นขาดหลายราย David López โดนแบนหลังถูกไล่ออกในเกมแพ้ เรอัล โซเซียดาด บี ส่วน Bryan Gil บาดเจ็บ ขณะที่ Javi Boñar และ Jastin García (บาดเจ็บกล้ามเนื้อต้นขาด้านหน้า) ก็ไม่อยู่ในแผนเช่นกัน ตำแหน่งที่ López ว่างลงเป็นการแย่งกันระหว่าง Mumin กับ Alejandro Francés ซึ่งหมายความว่าแนวรับของจิโรนาต้องปรับตัวทันทีในเกมที่เจอทีมอันดับ 2\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ฝั่งอัลเมเรียขาด Melamed, Rodrigo Ely (เจ็บ) และ Chirino (ข้อเท้า) แต่ก็มีข่าวดีเมื่อ Vesga กลับมาแล้วและ Guedes ผ่านการตรวจร่างกาย Pulido ยังเป็นข้อสงสัยหลังโดนกระแทกในเกมที่ผ่านมา แต่ EFE ยังใส่ชื่อไว้ในตัวจริงที่คาด\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch3>ตัวจริงที่คาด\u003C\u002Fh3>\n\u003Cp>สำนักข่าว EFE คาดว่าทั้งสองทีมใช้แถวเป็น 4-2-3-1 จิโรนาน่าจะส่ง Gazzaniga ในกรอบ แนวรับเป็น Mate, Mumin, Holmes Junior และ Àlex Moreno กลางสนามมี Fran Beltrán กับ Izan รองรับ Asprilla, Unai และ Carles Pérez โดยมี Vanat เป็นหัวหอก\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>อัลเมเรียคาดว่าใช้ Andrés Fernández ผู้รักษาประตู หลังสี่คือ Luna, Pulido, Bonini และ Álex Muñoz กลางสนามมี Javi Muñoz, Dzodic, Junyent, Arribas และ Cipenga โดย Miguel เล่นกองหน้า\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>ฟอร์มการเล่นล่าสุด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>จิโรนา 6 นัดหลังสุดทุกรายการเป็นดังนี้ เสมอ จิโรนา 0-0 มายอร์ก้า, เสมอ เตเนริเฟ่ 1-1 จิโรนา ในเกมเยือน, ชนะ จิโรนา 2-0 อันดอร์รา, ชนะ จิโรนา 5-1 เซลต้า ฟอร์ทูน่า, ชนะ CD Cuarte 0-2 จิโรนา ในโกปา และแพ้ เรอัล โซเซียดาด บี 1-0 จิโรนา ผลลีก 5 นัดหลังคือชนะ 2 เสมอ 2 แพ้ 1 สะท้อนทีมที่มีพลังบุกแต่ผลงานไม่นิ่ง และนัดล่าสุดยิงไม่เข้าเลย\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>อัลเมเรีย 6 นัดหลังสุดทุกรายการคือ ชนะ อัลเมเรีย 2-1 บูร์โกส, ชนะ อัลเมเรีย 3-0 เลกาเนส, ชนะ เรอัล โซเซียดาด บี 2-4 อัลเมเรีย ในเกมเยือน, เสมอ อัลเมเรีย 2-2 เรอัล โอเบียโด, ชนะ Castellonense 1-2 อัลเมเรีย ในโกปา และเสมอ เออิบาร์ 1-1 อัลเมเรีย ในเกมเยือน ลีก 5 นัดหลังสุดไม่แพ้ ชนะ 3 เสมอ 2 ที่น่าสนใจคือชนะ เรอัล โซเซียดาด บี ได้ถึง 2-4 ในเกมเยือน ขณะที่จิโรนาเพิ่งแพ้ทีมเดียวกันนี้ในเกมเยือน (เรอัล โซเซียดาด บี 1-0 จิโรนา)\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cblockquote>อัลเมเรียไม่แพ้ในลีก 5 นัดหลังสุด ชนะ 3 เสมอ 2 และยิงไป 23 ประตูจาก 12 นัด\u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n\u003Ch2>สถิติที่เคยพบกัน\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ประวัติการเจอกันเอนไปทางจิโรนา โดยเป็นเจ้าบ้านชนะขาด จิโรนา 6-2 อัลเมเรีย เมื่อ 17 ก.พ. 2023 และ จิโรนา 5-2 อัลเมเรีย เมื่อ 22 ต.ค. 2023 ส่วนนัดวันที่ 27 มี.ค. 2022 ในลาลิกา 2 ผลคือ อัลเมเรีย 0-1 จิโรนา ส่วน อัลเมเรีย 3-2 จิโรนา เมื่อ 20 ต.ค. 2022 ในลาลิกา และเกมล่าสุดวันที่ 14 ม.ค. 2024 อัลเมเรีย 0-0 จิโรนา\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>อย่างไรก็ตาม ทุกนัดข้างต้นเกิดก่อนฤดูกาลนี้ เก่ากว่า 2 ปี และจึงให้น้ำหนักได้น้อย แต่ก็ยังเป็นข้อค้านเดียวของการเลือกฝั่งรอง\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>มุมแท็กติกที่จะชี้ขาด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>Quique Álvarez โค้ชจิโรนา ต้องจัดแนวรับใหม่โดยไม่มี López ทั้งที่ต้องเจอทีมที่ยิงได้ 23 ประตูจาก 12 นัด และชนะ เรอัล โซเซียดาด บี 2-4 อัลเมเรีย และ อัลเมเรีย 3-0 เลกาเนส ในลีกช่วงหลัง จุดที่ต้องจับตาคือคู่ Mumin หรือ Francés ในแนวรับ กับกองหน้าอัลเมเรียอย่าง Miguel และแนวหลังรับที่มีความไม่แน่นอนเรื่อง Pulido\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ส่วนฝั่งจิโรนาก็มีอาวุธ ชนะ จิโรนา 2-0 อันดอร์รา และ จิโรนา 5-1 เซลต้า ฟอร์ทูน่า ในลีกเมื่อไม่นานมานี้ แปลว่าถ้าได้เกมเปิดก็ทำประตูได้หลายลูก ทว่านัดล่าสุดที่แพ้ 0-1 ชี้ว่าทีมยังหาประตูยากเมื่อเกมปิด และนัดนั้นยิงไม่เข้าเลย อัลเมเรียที่มีฟอร์มเสมอ ชนะ สลับกันและไม่แพ้ 5 นัดมีโอกาสเก็บแต้มได้อย่างน้อยหนึ่งแต้ม ซึ่งก็เพียงพอกับราคา\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>วิเคราะห์ราคาบอล\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ราคาปัจจุบันคือ จิโรนา ต่อ 0.5 ถ้าจิโรนาชนะแม้ลูกเดียว ต่อจิโรนาได้เต็ม แต่ถ้าเสมอหรืออัลเมเรียชนะ รองอัลเมเรียได้เต็ม จึงเท่ากับว่าฝั่งรองได้เปรียบสองในสามผลลัพธ์ที่เป็นไปได้ในเกมนี้\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>เหตุผลที่เลือกรองอัลเมเรียมีสามข้อ ข้อแรก ตาราง 26 แต้มต่อ 21 แต้ม อันดับ 2 ต่อ 8 และผลงานล่าสุดไม่แพ้ 5 นัดของทีมเยือนสวนทางกับจิโรนาที่เพิ่งแพ้ ข้อสอง จิโรนาขาดกองหลังที่โดนแบนและมีผู้เล่นบาดเจ็บหลายราย ข้อสาม ราคาต่อ 0.5 ให้สิทธิ์ฝั่งรองมากพอ ส่วนข้อค้านคือผลเจอกันในอดีตที่ยังเข้าข้างจิโรนา จึงเลือกฝั่งรองโดยยังเผื่อใจเรื่องผลเจอกัน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>บทสรุปและทีเด็ด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>จิโรนามีอาวุธบุกให้เห็นในสัปดาห์ก่อนๆ แต่ปัญหาแนวรับที่ต้องปรับและความไม่นิ่งของผลงาน ทำให้ต่อ 0.5 เป็นภาระ อัลเมเรียมีแต้มนำ 5 แต้ม ฟอร์มลีกไม่แพ้ และมี Vesga กลับมาและ Guedes ผ่านการตรวจร่างกาย ทางเลือกที่คุ้มกว่าคือฝั่งรอง สกอร์ที่คาดคือ จิโรนา 1-1 อัลเมเรีย\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cblockquote>ทีเด็ด: 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