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มีข่าวร้ายจาก Omroep Gelderland เมื่อ 2 พ.ย. ว่า Chiel Olde Keizer แบ็กซ้าย ติดโทษแบนจากใบแดงช่วงท้ายเกม KNVB Cup ที่ชนะ VVV-Venlo 2-0 จึงขาดเกมนี้ ส่วนเรื่องผู้รักษาประตู Connor van den Berg โดนบอลอัดศีรษะในเกมที่แพ้ FC Emmen 0-2 และถูกเปลี่ยนตัวออก ในเกมถ้วยที่ชนะ VVV-Venlo ผู้ที่ลงประตูคือ Maximilian Brüll ซึ่งเก็บคลีนชีตได้ ตำแหน่งมือหนึ่งในเกมนี้จึงยังต้องรอดูว่าจะเป็นคนไหน โดยกุนซือคือ Rüdiger Rehm\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ฝั่งยอง อาแจ็กซ์ โค้ชคือ Carlos García ตามที่ opstellingvandaag.nl ระบุ ทีมขาด Jan Faberski ที่เอ็นข้างเข่าฉีก และ Luca Messori ขณะที่ Diego Pugno กองหน้าที่ยิงไป 5 ประตู รับโทษแบนครบแล้ว แต่ไม่ได้อยู่ในทีมนัดเสมอ TOP Oss 3-3 และ opstellingvandaag.nl ระบุว่า Pugno กับ Mohamed Abdalla นั่งสำรองทีมชุดใหญ่เมื่อวันเสาร์ จึงยังเป็นคำถามว่าสองคนนี้จะกลับมาร่วมทีมหรือไม่ ด้านผู้รักษาประตู Joeri Heerkens กลับมาเป็นตัวจริงในนัด TOP Oss แทน Charlie Setford แต่ opstellingvandaag.nl ยังให้ตัวเลือกสองคนสำหรับเกมนี้\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>ฟอร์มการเล่นล่าสุด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ยอง อาแจ็กซ์ ลีก 5 นัดหลังสุด ชนะ 1 เสมอ 2 แพ้ 2 ได้ 6 เสีย 13 ผลล่าสุดคือเสมอ TOP Oss 3-3 ที่เยือนเมื่อ 24 ต.ค. โดยนำ 2-0 ก่อนถูกตีเสมอด้วยประตูช่วงทดเจ็บ ก่อนหน้านั้นชนะ De Graafschap 2-1 เมื่อ 20 ต.ค. และแพ้ VVV-Venlo 0-3 เมื่อ 10 ต.ค. Emre Ünüvar ยิงไป 7 ประตูในฤดูกาล และยิงได้ทั้งนัด De Graafschap กับ TOP Oss\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ในบ้านลีก 6 นัด ยอง อาแจ็กซ์ ชนะ 2 เสมอ 1 แพ้ 3 ได้ 9 เสีย 14 และสามนัดที่แพ้ล้วนแพ้ห่างตั้งแต่ 2 ลูกขึ้นไป (4-6 กับ Emmen, 0-2 กับ RKC, 0-3 กับ VVV-Venlo)\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>วิเทสส์ ลีก 5 นัดหลังสุด ชนะ 1 เสมอ 1 แพ้ 3 ได้ 3 เสีย 8 ล่าสุดแพ้ Emmen 0-2 ในบ้านเมื่อ 24 ต.ค. ก่อนหน้านั้นชนะ Eindhoven 1-0 ที่เยือนเมื่อ 17 ต.ค. และแพ้ Volendam 0-2 เมื่อ 10 ต.ค. ฟอร์มช่วงนี้ไม่น่าประทับใจ แต่เมื่อ 29 ต.ค. วิเทสส์ชนะ VVV-Venlo 2-0 ในเกมถ้วย KNVB Cup เพื่อผ่านเข้ารอบถัดไป (ผลถ้วยแยกจากสถิติลีก) ส่วนยอง อาแจ็กซ์ไม่ได้ลงเล่นถ้วย\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>เมื่อมองเฉพาะนอกบ้านในลีก 6 นัด วิเทสส์ชนะ 3 แพ้ 3 ได้ 8 เสีย 7 ชัยชนะมาจาก 3-1 Jong Utrecht, 4-1 Den Bosch และ 1-0 Eindhoven\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>สถิติที่เคยพบกัน\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ลีก 4 นัดหลังสุด ผลคือ ชนะคนละ 1 เสมอ 2 โดยเรียงจากใหม่ไปเก่าเป็น วิเทสส์ 6-1 ยอง อาแจ็กซ์ (6 เม.ย. 2026), ยอง อาแจ็กซ์ 2-0 วิเทสส์ (1 ธ.ค. 2025), ยอง อาแจ็กซ์ 1-1 วิเทสส์ (14 เม.ย. 2025) และวิเทสส์ 2-2 ยอง อาแจ็กซ์ (21 ก.ย. 2024) ในสองนัดที่ยอง อาแจ็กซ์เป็นเจ้าบ้าน ยอง อาแจ็กซ์ไม่แพ้ ชนะ 1 เสมอ 1 และ Omroep Gelderland ย้ำเมื่อ 2 พ.ย. ว่าวิเทสส์ไม่ชนะในการไปเยือนยอง อาแจ็กซ์ 2 นัดหลังสุด นี่คือข้อค้านสำคัญของฝั่งต่อที่ต้องยอมรับ\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>มุมแท็กติกที่จะชี้ขาด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cblockquote>ยอง อาแจ็กซ์ เสีย 29 ประตูจาก 12 นัด มากเป็นอันดับ 3 ของลีก รองจาก Dordrecht และ Jong Utrecht ที่เสีย 31\u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n\u003Cp>ตัวเลขนี้คือกุญแจ วิเทสส์มี Naoufal Bannis ที่ยิงไปแล้ว 11 ประตูในลีก ถ้าเกมเปิดและเกมรับของยอง อาแจ็กซ์ยังปล่อยพื้นที่เหมือนนัดที่แพ้ในบ้านสามนัดนั้น วิเทสส์มีโอกาสทำประตูได้มากกว่าหนึ่งลูก การขาด Olde Keizer ทางแบ็กซ้ายทำให้วิเทสส์เสียสมดุลไปบ้าง แต่ยอง อาแจ็กซ์ก็มีทีมที่ยังไม่นิ่งทั้งแนวรุกและผู้รักษาประตูเช่นกัน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ฝั่งยอง อาแจ็กซ์มีจุดแข็งคือการทำประตูได้ในหลายนัดล่าสุด ทั้ง 3-3 กับ TOP Oss และ 2-1 กับ De Graafschap แต่เกมรับยังรั่ว การนำ 2-0 แล้วถูกตีเสมอตอนทดเจ็บคือตัวอย่างล่าสุด\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>วิเคราะห์ราคาบอล\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ราคา วิเทสส์ ต่อเสมอควบครึ่ง (0\u002F0.5) ผลได้เสียคือ ถ้าวิเทสส์ชนะ ฝั่งต่อได้เต็ม ถ้าเสมอ ฝั่งวิเทสส์เสียครึ่ง และฝั่งรองยอง อาแจ็กซ์ได้ครึ่ง ถ้ายอง อาแจ็กซ์ชนะ ฝั่งรองได้เต็ม เหตุผลที่เลือกฝั่งวิเทสส์ คือ ตารางและประตูได้เสียที่ต่างกัน (อันดับ 9 กับอันดับ 16 และยอง อาแจ็กซ์เสียมากเป็นอันดับ 3 ของลีก) บวกกับผลในบ้านของยอง อาแจ็กซ์ที่เสียถึง 14 ประตูจาก 6 นัด และผลนอกบ้านที่วิเทสส์ชนะ 3 จาก 6 นัด\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ข้อค้านที่ต้องชั่งน้ำหนักคือ วิเทสส์แพ้ 3 จาก 5 นัดลีกหลังสุด ไม่ได้ประตูถึง 3 จาก 5 นัดนั้น และไม่ชนะในการไปเยือนยอง อาแจ็กซ์ 2 นัดหลังสุด ข้อดีของราคานี้คือถ้าเกมจบเสมอ ฝั่งต่อเสียแค่ครึ่งเดียว แต่สกอร์ที่ให้ผลเต็มคือต้องเป็นวิเทสส์ชนะเท่านั้น\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>บทสรุปและทีเด็ด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ภาพรวมคือเกมรับของยอง อาแจ็กซ์เสียมากเป็นอันดับ 3 ของลีก และสามนัดที่แพ้ในบ้านล้วนแพ้ห่างตั้งแต่ 2 ลูก ส่วนวิเทสส์แม้ฟอร์มลีกสะดุดและขาด Olde Keizer 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