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6 ที่ Alberto Braglia โดยเจ้าบ้านอยู่อันดับ 6 ด้วย 10 แต้ม ส่วนเวโรนาอยู่อันดับ 9 ด้วย 7 แต้ม ราคาออกมาให้โมเดน่าต่อ 0\u002F0.5 หลังเปิดที่ต่อ 0.5 แล้วไหลลงมา จุดชี้ขาดอยู่ที่แนวรับที่เป็นระเบียบของเจ้าบ้านกับเกมรุกที่ทำประตูได้ต่อเนื่องของเวโรนา ผมเลือกเชียร์เจ้าบ้านด้วยความมั่นใจระดับกลาง\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>บริบทของเกมและสิ่งที่เดิมพัน\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>โมเดน่ากับเวโรนาห่างกันเพียง 3 แต้มในตาราง ผลนัดนี้จึงมีผลต่อลำดับของทั้งสองทีมโดยตรง โมเดน่าเก็บ 10 แต้มจาก 5 นัด ชนะ 3 เสมอ 1 แพ้ 1 ยิงได้ 8 เสีย 4 ขณะที่เวโรนาชนะ 2 เสมอ 1 แพ้ 2 ยิงได้ 10 เสีย 7 เก็บได้ 7 แต้ม ตัวเลขนี้บอกภาพชัดว่าโมเดน่าเป็นทีมที่ผลงานสมดุลกว่า ส่วนเวโรนาเป็นทีมเกมเปิดที่ยิงเยอะแต่เสียเยอะตามไปด้วย\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>ข่าวทีมและความพร้อมของผู้เล่น\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ฝั่งโมเดน่า ตามรายงานของ DAZN และสรุปรายชื่อที่คาดว่าจะลงสนามในวันที่ 10 ต.ค. \u003Cstrong>Sersanti\u003C\u002Fstrong> และ \u003Cstrong>Manquant\u003C\u002Fstrong> เอ็นไขว้หน้าขาด จึงต้องพักยาว แต่ Pianeta Serie B ระบุว่าโค้ช Galloppa ไม่มีปัญหาเรื่องตัวผู้เล่นใหญ่ นอกจากนี้ผู้รักษาประตู \u003Cstrong>Laidani\u003C\u002Fstrong> ยังเป็นจุดที่ต้องจับตาดูว่าจะพร้อมแค่ไหน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ฝั่งเวโรนา \u003Cstrong>Korac\u003C\u002Fstrong> และ \u003Cstrong>Compagnon\u003C\u002Fstrong> ผ่าตัดเอ็นไขว้หน้า จึงไม่อยู่ในแผนของเกมนี้ ส่วน \u003Cstrong>Serdar\u003C\u002Fstrong> กำลังฟื้นตัวแต่ฟิตเนสยังไม่พร้อม \u003Cstrong>Slotsager\u003C\u002Fstrong> ยังไม่แน่ใจ และ \u003Cstrong>Suslov\u003C\u002Fstrong> กลับจากทีมชาติสโลวาเกียพร้อมอาการช้ำ เรื่องนี้เป็นเครื่องหมายคำถามต่อความลึกของทีมเยือน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ข่าวดีของเวโรนาคือ \u003Cstrong>Mulattieri\u003C\u002Fstrong> และ \u003Cstrong>Mosquera\u003C\u002Fstrong> พร้อมลงเล่นและชิงตัวจริง ขณะที่ \u003Cstrong>Ekuban\u003C\u002Fstrong> อาการดีขึ้นมากตามรายงานของ Pianeta Serie B ผมจึงไม่ตีว่าเวโรนาเสียเปรียบเรื่องตัวผู้เล่นอย่างชัดเจน เพราะทั้งสองทีมมีผู้เล่นสำคัญขาดหายเท่า ๆ กัน (มีแหล่งข่าวหนึ่งใส่ Korac ในตัวจริงเวโรนา แต่แหล่งอื่นรายงานว่าเขาบาดเจ็บ ผมจึงไม่ใช้ข้อมูลนั้น)\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ตัวจริงที่คาดตาม Pianeta Serie B (ยังไม่ใช่รายชื่อทางการ) โมเดน่าน่าจะเล่น 4-2-3-1 ได้แก่ Chichizola; Tonoli, Nador, Nieling, Zampano; Brugman, Bianco; Azzi, Olzer, Caso; Ambrosino ส่วนเวโรนาคาดว่าเล่น 4-3-3 ได้แก่ Leali; Calabrese, Dawidowicz, Edmundsson, Bradaric; Le Borgne, Iannoni, Lella; Sezonienko, Mosquera, Sarr โดยแหล่งอื่นอย่าง WhoScored และ Sportsgambler ให้ชื่อต่างกันบางตำแหน่ง\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>ฟอร์มการเล่นล่าสุด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>โมเดน่า 5 นัดหลังสุดทุกรายการ ชนะเอ็มโปลี 2-1 ที่เหย้า เสมอซุดทีโรล 1-1 ที่เยือน แพ้อเวลลิโน่ 0-1 ที่เหย้า ชนะเครโมเนเซ 3-0 ที่เยือน และชนะเบเนเวนโต้ 2-1 ที่เยือน รวมเป็นชนะ 3 เสมอ 1 แพ้ 1 ยิงเฉลี่ย 1.6 ลูก เสียเฉลี่ย 0.8 ลูกต่อนัด แสดงว่าทีมนี้เล่นบอลสมดุล เสียประตูน้อยและเก็บแต้มได้แม้ลงเยือน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>เวโรนาชนะลูกาโน 3-1 ในเกมกระชับมิตร ชนะวิเชนซ่า 2-1 ที่เหย้า แพ้เบเนเวนโต้ 1-3 ที่เยือน ชนะอเรซโซ่ 5-0 ที่เหย้า และชนะกายารี 2-1 ในโคปปา อิตาเลีย ยิงเฉลี่ย 2 ลูก แต่เสียเฉลี่ย 1.4 ลูกต่อนัด ผลงานดูสวยแต่มี 2 นัดที่เป็นเกมนอกลีกหรือกระชับมิตร จึงต้องให้น้ำหนักอย่างระวัง และเกมเยือนในลีกที่เจอเบเนเวนโต้ก็พ่ายยับ\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ตัวเลขเชิงสถิติก็ชี้ไปทางเดียวกัน คือเกมรับของโมเดน่าอยู่ที่ 73% เทียบกับเวโรนา 53% ส่วนเกมรุกเวโรนา 67% สูงกว่าโมเดน่าที่ 53% เป็นภาพของเจ้าบ้านที่แกร่งด้านหลัง และแขกที่อันตรายด้านหน้า\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>สถิติที่เคยพบกัน\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ข้อมูลการเจอกันมีน้อยมาก นัดล่าสุดที่มีบันทึกคือเกมกระชับมิตรเมื่อ 29 ก.ค. 2021 เวโรนาชนะโมเดน่า 3-2 เกมกระชับมิตรเมื่อห้าปีก่อนไม่ใช่ตัวชี้วัดที่เชื่อถือได้ในเกมลีกครั้งนี้ ผมจึงไม่นับสถิติเจอกันเป็นปัจจัยสนับสนุนฝั่งใด\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>มุมแท็กติกที่จะชี้ขาด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>โมเดน่าน่าจะลงสนามด้วย 4-2-3-1 มีคู่กลาง Brugman และ Bianco คอยคุมจังหวะและปกป้องแนวรับ ส่วนด้านหน้ามี Ambrosino เป็นหัวหอก โดยมี Azzi, Olzer และ Caso คอยหนุนจากด้านหลัง โครงสร้างแบบนี้ช่วยให้ทีมมีสองกองกลางตัวต่ำคอยกันพื้นที่หน้าแนวรับ ซึ่งเข้ากับตัวเลขเสียเฉลี่ยเพียง 0.8 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