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ทีเด็ดอยู่ที่การเลือกฝั่งที่มีเหตุผลรองรับมากกว่าเพียงเล็กน้อย และฝั่งนั้นคือพอร์ทสมัธที่เล่นในบ้านตัวเอง\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>ภาพรวมตารางและสิ่งที่เดิมพัน\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>พอร์ทสมัธอยู่อันดับ 13 จาก 11 นัด ยิงได้ 14 เสีย 14 ส่วนมิลล์วอลล์อยู่อันดับ 12 จาก 11 นัดเท่ากัน ยิงได้ 18 เสีย 18 แต้มเท่ากันที่ 15 แต้ม ความต่างอยู่ที่ลำดับในตาราง โดยมิลล์วอลล์ยิงได้มากกว่าจึงอยู่เหนือกว่าหนึ่งอันดับ แต่ในเมื่อผลต่างประตูของทั้งสองทีมเป็นศูนย์ ตารางจึงบอกได้เพียงว่าสองทีมอยู่กลางตารางและคู่นี้เป็นเกมที่ใครชนะจะขยับขึ้นไปนำอีกฝ่ายทันที\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>ข่าวทีมและรายชื่อตัวจริงที่คาด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ข่าวทีมของพอร์ทสมัธไม่สวยนัก ตามรายงานของ Sports Mole เมื่อวันที่ 22 ต.ค. รายชื่อผู้เล่นที่ไม่พร้อมยาวเหยียด ประกอบด้วย Benjamin Arthur, Conor Shaughnessy, Connor Ogilvie, Mark Kosznovszky, John Swift, Josh Murphy, Franco Umeh และ Luke Brooke-Smith ส่วน Colby Bishop กองหน้า มีโอกาสน้อยที่จะพร้อมหลังไม่ติดทีมนัดวันอังคารเพราะปัญหาหัวเข่า รายชื่อผู้เล่นที่ไม่พร้อมยังมี K. Anderson ในสถานะโอเวอร์โหลดด้วย รวมแล้วพอร์ทสมัธมีผู้เล่นที่ไม่พร้อมถึง 10 คน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ฝั่งมิลล์วอลล์ก็มีปัญหาไม่น้อย Sports Mole รายงานว่า Max Crocombe จะยืนระหว่างเสาแทน Filip Marschall ที่บาดเจ็บข้อเท้าจากเกมเสมอลินคอล์น และทีมยังขาด Lukas Jensen, Massimo Luongo, Casper De Norre, Mathis Servais, Mihailo Ivanovic และ Josh Coburn ส่วน Tairyk Arconte เป็นห่วงเรื่องความฟิตจากข้อเท้า พลาดมา 2 นัดหลังสุด\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>รายชื่อตัวจริงที่คาดว่าจะเห็น ตามที่ Sports Mole ประเมินไว้ ทั้งสองทีมใช้แผน 4-2-3-1 พอร์ทสมัธคาดว่าเป็น Schmid ในประตู แนวรับ Swanson, Poole, Dia, Meghoma กองกลาง Pack กับ Mohamed ตามด้วย Kamara, Segecic, Kavuma-McQueen และ Marezi ยืนหน้าสุด ส่วนมิลล์วอลล์คาดว่าเป็น Crocombe ในประตู แนวรับ Crama, Taylor, Cooper, Sturge กองกลาง Metcalfe กับ Mazou-Sacko ตามด้วย Neghli, Sykes, Lisbie และ Dykes เป็นหัวหอก ทั้งหมดเป็นรายชื่อที่คาดการณ์ ยังไม่ใช่ตัวจริงที่ประกาศอย่างเป็นทางการ\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cblockquote>สถิติเท่ากันทุกบรรทัดในตาราง แต่ฟอร์มล่าสุดและสนามบ้านเป็นสองเหตุผลที่ทำให้พอร์ทสมัธมีแต้มต่อทางความรู้สึกอยู่เล็กน้อย\u003C\u002Fblockquote>\n\u003Ch2>ฟอร์มห้านัดหลังสุดทุกรายการ\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>พอร์ทสมัธ 5 นัดหลังสุดทุกรายการ ชนะ 2 เสมอ 2 แพ้ 1 ยิง 7 เสีย 6 เริ่มจากเสมอแบล็คเบิร์น 2-2 ในบ้านเมื่อ 19 ก.ย. ตามด้วยแพ้เซาแธมป์ตัน 0-1 นอกบ้าน แล้วชนะเชฟฟิลด์ ยูไนเต็ด 3-2 ในบ้าน ชนะนอริช ซิตี 1-0 นอกบ้าน และล่าสุดเสมอวูล์ฟส์ 1-1 นอกบ้านเมื่อ 20 ต.ค. จึงไม่แพ้มา 3 นัดหลังสุด ทั้งหมดเป็นเกมแชมเปียนชิพ Sports Mole ยังระบุว่าพอร์ทสมัธเป็นเจ้าบ้านที่ชนะ 2 เสมอ 1 ใน 3 นัดเหย้าล่าสุด และยิงอย่างน้อย 2 ลูกในทุกนัดนั้น\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>มิลล์วอลล์ 5 นัดหลังสุดทุกรายการ ชนะ 1 เสมอ 3 แพ้ 1 ยิง 7 เสีย 7 ผลล่าสุดคือเสมอลินคอล์น 2-2 ในบ้านเมื่อ 17 ต.ค. หลังแพ้สวอนซี 0-1 ในบ้านและชนะเปรสตัน 1-0 นอกบ้าน นอกบ้านในลิสต์นี้มี 2 นัด ชนะ 1 เสมอ 1 ภาพรวมคือทีมที่เสมอบ่อยและเสียประตูเกือบทุกเกม\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>สถิติเจอกัน\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ห้านัดหลังสุดของคู่นี้ในทุกรายการ (แชมเปียนชิพ 4 นัด ลีกคัพ 1 นัด) พอร์ทสมัธชนะ 2 มิลล์วอลล์ชนะ 3 ฟังดูเหมือนมิลล์วอลล์ได้เปรียบ แต่ต้องดูลำดับเวลา สองนัดหลังสุดพอร์ทสมัธชนะ 3-1 ทั้งคู่ คือชนะนอกบ้านเมื่อ ก.พ. 2026 และชนะในบ้านเมื่อ พ.ย. 2025 ชัยชนะทั้งสามของมิลล์วอลล์เกิดก่อนหน้านั้น คือ 1-0 ในลีกคัพ ส.ค. 2024, 1-0 ที่ Fratton Park เมื่อ ม.ค. 2025 และ 2-1 ในบ้านเมื่อ เม.ย. 2025\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ที่ Fratton Park เอง 3 นัดหลังสุดที่เจอกัน พอร์ทสมัธชนะ 1 แพ้ 2 ซึ่งเป็นข้อค้านที่ต้องบันทึกไว้ แต่แนวโน้มล่าสุดชัดเจนว่าพอร์ทสมัธอ่านเกมของมิลล์วอลล์ขาดในสองครั้งหลังสุด และชนะด้วยผลต่างสองลูกทั้งสองนัด\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>มุมแท็กติกที่จะชี้ขาด\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>เมื่อทั้งสองทีมน่าจะใช้ 4-2-3-1 เหมือนกัน เกมจะตัดสินกันที่พื้นที่กองกลางและความแม่นยำในจังหวะสุดท้าย พอร์ทสมัธมีคู่กองกลาง Pack กับ Mohamed ที่ต้องรับมือ Neghli และ Sykes ซึ่งเป็นตัวเชื่อมของมิลล์วอลล์\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>จุดแข็งของเจ้าบ้านคือความต่อเนื่องในการทำประตูเมื่อเล่นในบ้านตามที่ Sports Mole ระบุไว้ข้างต้น ส่วนมิลล์วอลล์เสียประตูใน 4 จาก 5 นัดหลังสุด และต้องใช้ Crocombe 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