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โค้ช José Alberto ให้สัมภาษณ์กับ Jornada Perfecta เมื่อ 30 ต.ค. 2026 ว่า \"Está con unas ligeras molestias musculares. Vamos a ver mañana cómo está\" หรือแปลง่ายๆ คือยังต้องรอดูอาการอีกวัน นอกจากนี้เขายังบอกว่าอาจมีผู้เล่นที่ลงเล่นในโกปา เดล เรย์เมื่อวานติดตัวจริงในวันอาทิตย์ด้วย สะท้อนว่าการหมุนเวียนตัวผู้เล่นของเจ้าบ้านมีโอกาสเกิดขึ้น\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ฝั่งมาดริดก็ไม่ได้มาครบทีม วินิซิอุสติดโทษแบนนัดที่ 3 จาก 4 นัด Mendy, Asencio และ Rodrygo เจ็บ ส่วน Valverde มีอาการเจ็บแฮมสตริง แต่ข่าวดีคือ Courtois กลับมาแล้วหลังพลาดนัดกับบาร์เซโลนาเพราะอาการหวัด โค้ชมูรินโญคุมทีมชุดนี้\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>คาดว่ามาดริดจะส่งรูปแบบ 4-2-3-1 โดยมี Courtois ในกรอบ แนวรับเป็น Dumfries, Konaté, Huijsen และ Cucurella กองกลางคู่คือ Camavinga กับ Tchouaméni ด้านหน้าเป็น Güler, Bellingham และ Diomande หนุน Mbappé ซึ่งเป็นชุดที่ยังแข็งแรงพอสมควร แม้จะไม่มีวินิซิอุส\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>ฟอร์มและตารางของสองทีม\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ราซิงทำได้ 15 ประตู เสีย 26 ประตูจาก 10 นัด ชนะ 3 เสมอ 2 แพ้ 5 การเสียประตูมากขนาดนี้เป็นจุดที่ทำให้ราคาสองลูกเต็มดูมีเหตุผลอยู่ ในลีก 4 นัดหลังสุดทีมชนะ 1 เสมอ 1 แพ้ 2 ได้ 4 เสีย 10 ซึ่งมีทั้งชนะเอสปันญอล 2-1 ที่บ้าน เสมอบาเลนเซีย 2-2 ที่บ้าน แพ้โอซาซูนา 0-2 นอกบ้าน และแพ้เซลตา บีโก 0-5 นอกบ้าน ส่วนในโกปา เดล เรย์ ทีมเพิ่งชนะ Ribadesella CF 2-0 เมื่อวันที่ 29 ต.ค. แต่ผลถ้วยไม่นับเป็นสถิติลีก\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>มาดริดชนะ 8 แพ้ 2 ได้ 25 เสีย 10 และชนะรวด 5 นัดล่าสุดทุกรายการ ทั้งชนะบาร์เซโลนา 2-1 ชนะไลป์ซิก 4-1 ใน UEFA Champions League ชนะเซบีย่า 4-1 ชนะโรมา 4-3 ใน UEFA Champions League และชนะบียาร์เรอัล 1-0 ฟอร์มแบบนี้ไม่มีข้อสงสัยเรื่องความเหนือกว่า ทว่าเมื่อดูคำถามที่ว่า ชนะ 3 ลูกขึ้นไปหรือไม่ ภาพไม่ได้ชัดนัก\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>เมื่อแยกเป็นเหย้าและเยือนในลีก ราซิงเล่นในบ้าน 5 นัด ไม่แพ้เลย ชนะ 3 เสมอ 2 ได้ 11 เสีย 8 และยิงได้อย่างน้อย 2 ประตูทุกนัด (เสมอบียาร์เรอัล 2-2, ชนะเอลเช 3-2, ชนะอลาเบส 2-1, เสมอบาเลนเซีย 2-2, ชนะเอสปันญอล 2-1) ขณะที่มาดริดเล่นนอกบ้าน 5 นัด ชนะ 3 แพ้ 2 และชัยชนะทั้ง 3 นัดห่างกันเพียงลูกเดียว ไม่เคยชนะเยือนห่าง 2 ลูกขึ้นไป ตัวเลขชุดนี้คือเหตุผลหลักที่ทำให้ฝั่งรองน่าสนใจกว่า\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>ส่วนต่างประตูคือจุดตัดสินของราคา\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ในลีก 3 นัดหลังสุด มาดริดชนะห่าง 1, 3 และ 1 ลูกตามลำดับ ได้ 7 เสีย 3 ถ้านับทุกรายการ 5 นัดล่าสุด มีเพียง 2 นัดที่ชนะตั้งแต่ 3 ลูกขึ้นไป และทั้งสองนัดเป็น 4-1 ในบ้านทั้งคู่ ส่วนสองนัดที่ไปเยือนทีมชุดขาวชนะเพียงลูกเดียวทั้งคู่ คือ 2-1 ที่บาร์เซโลนา และ 4-3 ที่โรมา ตัวเลขนี้ชี้ว่ามาดริดไม่ได้ชนะแบบขาดลอยทุกนัดเมื่อบุกไปเยือน\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cp>ถ้าเกมออกมาชนะ 2-0 หรือ 3-1 ผู้ที่ถือมาดริดก็แค่คืนทุน ซึ่งเป็นสกอร์ที่เข้าข่ายได้ไม่ยาก ขณะที่ฝั่งราซิงถ้ากันไม่ให้ทีมเยือนทำเกิน 1 ลูก หรือเก็บแต้มได้ ก็ได้เต็มทันที\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Ch2>มุมแท็กติกที่น่าจับตา\u003C\u002Fh2>\n\u003Cp>ราซิงมีปัญหาแนวรับชัดเจนจากผลแพ้ 0-5 และ 0-2 ที่ผ่านมา โค้ช José Alberto ให้สัมภาษณ์กับ Jornada Perfecta เมื่อ 30 ต.ค. 2026 ว่า \"ser valientes no significa ser descerebrados\" ซึ่งความหมายคือกล้าหาญไม่ได้แปลว่าบ้าบิ่น สะท้อนแนวคิดว่าทีมจะไม่เปิดเกมพุ่งชนแบบไม่ยั้งคิด 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